Well this cartoon says it all what I think of Brexit 😀 Short about what is going on.
UK needs to decide on Brexit until March or within +/- 2 months. Alternatives are:
- Deal with EU on exit with agreed terms. Most likely no border control and staying in custom union for some time. Best case.
- Brexit term is prolonged. UK parlament needs to vote on cancel their own bill to exit EU on 2019 March. This opens the door for 2nd referendum, but this means new parlament election and very bad for Conservatives that has majority at the parlament and were elected on promise to make a referendum and honor the results. In this case they fail their promises. Lots of mess in UK. Middle case.
- Hard brexit without no deal. Worst case.
Personaly I bet on 3 option. There will be a recesion in UK. Some slowdown in EU. Might even triger a world recesion if this goes global and hits hard enough US or China to triger their own recesion. This might be the Leaman brothers event for 2019, but it looks like that there is not that much steem in the baloon for the moment as it was in 2008.
So buckle up, looks like 2019 will be some ride 🙂